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Santosh Pudupakkam's avatar

I think we learned a number of things in this election:

1. You can have a terrific launch and a fantastic convention, and it means nothing.

2. You can crush your opponent in a debate, and it means nothing.

3. You can vastly out raise and outspend your opponent, and it means nothing.

4. You can have vastly better personal favourability ratings, and it means nothing.

5. You can have a vastly superior ground game, and it means nothing.

6. Political experts with stellar reputations can be wrong: See Selzer and Ralston

7. Reputable pollsters can be wrong: See NYT/Siena

8. Reputable early vote analysts can be wrong.

9. Running a “positive” and “future focused” campaign doesn’t always work.

10. Gender disparity means nothing even post Dobbs: 52% of women voted for Trump

11. No such thing as Republicans for Harris.

12. Don’t trust partisan political experts.

13. Don’t overestimate the importance of morals and ethics. Even a felon can get elected.

14. Don’t overestimate the intelligence of the American electorate.

I’m sure there’s more but that’s all I can think of right now.

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Jesse's avatar

You forgot to mention racism.

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Dave Trotter's avatar

Racism is the scapegoat of the real problems.

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Santosh Pudupakkam's avatar

Oh yes I’ll add one more thing to my list: Generation X (of which I am a part), is the worst generation in history.

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Dave Trotter's avatar

Me too, and yes we are!

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John's avatar

Easy there... I think you're confusing Tom and Simon were mistaken with Tom and Simon committed a heinous, unforgivable act of treachery and betrayal.

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Ming's avatar

I also learnt one thing: the maximum age to run successfully for President is 78, not 81

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rick liguori's avatar

Am trying to find a trend among these states ( WI,MI,PA,NC,&GA). Discovered the following. In every case (state ) , dems' strongholds had a lower percentage of people votes than did the republicans. That is the absolute total of counted votes was always lower that that of the republican counties. Milwaukee,WI, Wayne,MI, Philly,PA, Mecklenburg,NC, and Fulton,GA, individually and within the group, as much as nearly 4% or as little as nearly 2%. In all cases there were enough non votes ,that if counted, would overturn the state from Trump to Harris. Now, your models are excellent and accurate , well thought out, and mathematically sound. But you and no one else take into account what no one in the media is allowed to discuss - that elections are manipulated via the use of software in voting machines. Don't tell me no! Due you due diligence. Check out on YOUTUBE Clinton Curtiss' sworn testimony before a House Judiciary Committee post 2000 General Election. You will notice both Nadler and Waters present. If you want to chat, feel free to respond. You did a great job over this past month. Rick

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