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Tim Smyth's avatar

Couple of comments.

1. I think Preston Manning is definately overestimating the level of support for the Reform 2.0/Danielle Smith/Kevin O'Leary agenda in British Columbia. Based on present polling the days of the 1990s and early 2000s when Reform and the Alliance could win 50% of the vote and 80% of the seats in BC are long over and not only that the Conservatives are losing not just to there historic rivals in BC the NDP but the Liberals which have not been at levels this high in British Columbia since the 1940s. Yes, there are parts of BC like the far Northeast(Dawson Creek and Fort St. John) that geographically and politically are far more aligned with Alberta and the Praries than the rest of the provinces and even in the Southern Interior there will still be Conservative seats and Conservative seats that will probably side with Alberta in a Conservative civil war but I think it is unlikely that Reform/Alliance 2.0 if it comes will be as strong of a force in BC than it was in the 90s.

2. Much as Carney's rise in the polls has caused a certain degree of internal tension within the UK Labour party between those in Scotland and London who want to take a tougher line on Trump vs the more Northern English working class Morgan McSweeney(yes I know McSweeney is in fact Scottish) pro American MAGA curious Red Wall wing of Labour, Carney could cause real tension of the US left between the "pure" Anti Trumpers and the protectionists like Shawn Fain, Jared Golden maybe even Gretchen Whitmer who are open to the Trump tariffs. If Carney really tries to turn the screws on the US people like Shawn Fawn/David Sirota and the UAW could lash out and go after Carney for working at Goldman Sachs(something that doesn't have nearly the currency in Canada as it does in the US and hasn't really been a factor in the current campaign). I could see someone like Shawn Fain calling Carney a bully from Goldman Sachs put in place by globalists to beat up on the American worker. Might even see Fain and Sirota(but probably not Whitmer) endorse Trump's annexationist statements.

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