Final Predictions for the 1er Tour of the French Legislative Elections
The New Popular Front and National Rally look to make big gains tonight.
Okay, I’m trying a new model today. I have no idea how accurate it will be or not, but we’ll see. Essentially, since the European Union elections just happened, and the polls haven’t changed too much, I am using the results for the coalitions in the EU elections. I’m also taking the accuracy in the EU polls and applying those to the recent polls in France.
So, here are my picks (which are VERY hard to do because some will be very close).